UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 - Ultimate Fight: Watch Online
Menu
Betting Odds & Predictions: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Published July 11, 2026

Betting Odds & Predictions: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Analyzing the early betting lines and prop bets for the highly anticipated UFC 329 main event.

Whenever Conor McGregor fights, the sportsbooks see massive action. His rematch against Max Holloway at UFC 329 is no exception. However, unlike many of McGregor's previous bouts where he was the heavy favorite, the oddsmakers see this Welterweight clash as a highly competitive, razor-thin matchup. Let's break down the Main Event betting landscape.

The Opening Odds

When the fight was initially announced, the odds opened remarkably close, with many sportsbooks having the fight as a near 'pick-em' (even money for both fighters). As money has come in, slight shifts have occurred:

  • Max Holloway: Slightly favored (e.g., -120). Oddsmakers respect his recent activity, incredible cardio, and the striking masterclasses he has put on over the last few years.
  • Conor McGregor: Slight underdog (e.g., +100). The "Notorious" one carries massive knockout power, but concerns over his long layoff and past leg injuries have kept him from being the favorite.

Key Factors Influencing the Lines

  1. The Weight Class: The fight is taking place at Welterweight (170 lbs). McGregor has fought at this weight several times (against Diaz and Cerrone), but Holloway is naturally much smaller. Does the added weight benefit McGregor's power or Holloway's chin?
  2. Cardio vs. Early Power: McGregor is incredibly dangerous in the first two rounds. If he connects flush with his left hand, the fight could end early. However, Holloway has never been knocked out in his UFC career. If the fight enters the championship rounds (4 and 5), Holloway's legendary volume and cardio give him a massive advantage.

Popular Prop Bets

  • Fight to go the Distance: Given Holloway's durability and McGregor's tendency to finish fights early, this is a heavily debated prop. Many analysts lean towards Holloway by Decision or McGregor by TKO (Rounds 1-2).
  • McGregor by KO/TKO: Usually the most popular bet among casual fans, offering decent returns if you believe McGregor still has that touch of death.

Before placing any wagers, be sure to catch up on the fighters' mental state by reviewing our Press Conference Highlights. Please remember to gamble responsibly and check your local regulations.